Effects on optical/infrared observations
This image of the galaxy group NGC 5353/4 was taken with a telescope at Lowell Observatory in Flagstaff, Arizona, on 25 May 2019. The diagonal lines are trails of reflected light left by more than 25 of the 60 Starlink satellites launched in May 2019, as they passed through the telescope’s field of view. When they leave their initial orbits, the satellites should diminish in brightness as they are boosted to a final orbital altitude. Credit: V. Girgis/ Lowell Observatory
The threats from the satellite constellations at optical wavelengths are quite significant and arise from three main factors: the apparent brightness of the satellites, the total number above the horizon at the locations of our observatories and the fraction of the night during which they are visible. A simulation of 10,000 spacecraft, as illustrated below, shows the number of satellites illuminated by the Sun at the latitude of Vera Rubin Observatory for constellations at 500 or 1000 kilometres altitude. The total number of satellite constellations may reach 4–20 times higher than this by the end of the decade.
Simulation of 10,000 satellites at 1000 kilometres and at 500 kilometres altitude, at 30 degrees south latitude and 53 degrees inclination. The 10,000 satellites have 100 planes with 100 satellites each. Higher-altitude constellations (1200 kilometres) are very challenging to astronomy as they are visible all night long during the summer. Credit: P. Seitzer (U. Michigan)
At optical wavelengths, observations with long exposure times will be affected the most — particularly in the hours close to twilight and when observing low on the horizon, when sunlight hits them and they are not in Earth’s shadow. A prime example would be the Potentially Hazardous Asteroid research done by the International Asteroid Warning Network. The sunlit satellites can be confused with or mask asteroids coming toward Earth, some of which could impact Earth.
Observations with optical telescopes that observe large portions of the sky would also be affected. New-generation telescopes with wide fields of view and sensitive detectors, like Vera C. Rubin Observatory, coming online in the near future, will be significantly impacted if no substantial mitigations are implemented. Some mitigation measures include avoidance, but if there are hundreds of bright satellites (or more) in the sky at any given time, they will be impossible to avoid when observing. Some mitigation measures include software corrections which may remove some of the streaks in the images as a result of satellite constellations crossing through the telescope’s field of view. But data will be lost from where the streaks are removed, and contamination in data products where streaks were not accurately identified or removed.
While optical telescopes with narrow fields of view are less impacted, since the probability that satellites will cross the field of view is lower, observations with long exposure times and particularly in the hours close to twilight and low on the horizon will be affected.
Effects on radio observations
The situation for radio astronomy is somewhat different, given the experience of the radio astronomy community in dealing with satellites through spectrum management. Nevertheless, the spectacular increase in satellite numbers has escalated this problem to the extent that it not only endangers the radio astronomy protected bands (as a result of adjacent and spurious transmissions) but also increases the probability of saturating wideband receivers and hinders the ability of radio telescopes to observe other parts of the spectrum needed for many scientific cases. Wide-band continuum observations, redshifted spectroscopy, transients, and Very Long Baseline Interferometry for the purposes of geodesy are amongst the affected cases.
As a radio telescope is sensitive to signals arriving from any direction in the sky (through its main beam or sidelobes), the prospect of hundreds of satellites above the horizon at any moment in time and moving at high speeds will require updates to the theory and techniques used to mitigate satellite interference. As an illustration of the drastic change in the situation, the figure below illustrates the movement of geosynchronous satellites in the local sky compared with two of the most advanced satellite constellations.

Movement of satellites above the horizon as seen from the SKA-Mid site in South Africa. The top panel shows all the currently active geosynchronous satellites for a period of 2000 seconds, and the bottom panel shows the movement of OneWeb and Starlink phase 1 over the same duration. Credit: F. Di Vruno (SKAO).